Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election
Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election
Statewide polls tracked the two main candidates, Hillary Clinton (Democrat) and Donald Trump (Republican), along with third-party options Jill Stein (Green) and Gary Johnson (Libertarian). Not every state was polled, and some data was older in lightly shaded areas. The map shows the most recent statewide polling data and is not a forecast of the election.
As voting approached, Clinton led in many of the polled states. In total, the latest statewide polls counted 216 electoral votes for Clinton and 184 for Trump, with 4 electoral votes in states where there was no polling data.
In 14 states and two congressional districts (150 electoral votes), Clinton and Trump were within the margin of error.
Maine and Nebraska allocate votes a bit differently: one electoral vote per congressional district plus two at large. Trump led in Nebraska’s 1st and 3rd districts, while Clinton led in Maine’s 1st district. Nebraska’s 2nd district and Maine’s 2nd district were within the margin of error.
Polls included two-way, three-way, and four-way scenarios depending on which candidates were considered. Third-party candidates did not win substantial statewide support in most polls.
Some states had no polling data after early August or September 2016. Margin of error calculations were used to judge potential ties.
This page was last edited on 3 February 2026, at 01:36 (CET).